000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260336
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sun Jan 26 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0215 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 05N77W to 04N84W to 03N93W. The 
ITCZ begins near 03N93W to 06N120W to 07N140W. Isolated moderate 
convection is from 06N to 12N between 111W and 128W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Long period NW swell will continue to propagate SE across the 
Baja California peninsula offshore waters with seas to 11 ft, 
starting to decay on Sun morning near the Revillagigedo Islands. 
A new set of NW swell will reach the offshore waters of Baja 
California Norte Sun night, with seas peaking near 12 ft by Mon 
night into early Tue. This reinforcing swell event will also 
help to maintain seas 8 ft or greater across the waters W of the 
Baja peninsula through late on Thu. 

Otherwise, a ridge will prevail W of the Baja California 
peninsula through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern 
will support gentle to locally moderate winds off the coast of 
Baja California Norte and light to gentle winds across the 
remainder of the open waters off the coast of Mexico through the 
remainder weekend. Mainly light winds are expected across the 
Gulf of California during this time. High pressure will build by 
early next week, tightening the pressure gradient over the area, 
which will result in moderate to fresh NW winds off the coast of 
Baja California through Thu. This will also bring fresh to 
locally strong winds along the Gulf of California by Tue, 
continuing through late Thu.

Otherwise, the next Tehuantepec gap wind event is forecast for 
Wed evening through Thu morning, followed by a stronger gap wind 
event during the weekend. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

The pressure gradient between a ridge shifting eastward across 
the SE United States and the equatorial trough will support 
fresh to strong NE to E winds over the Papagayo region, and 
fresh to locally strong winds over the Gulf of Panama region 
through late Sun morning. Winds will diminish thereafter as the 
area of high pressure weakens and the pressure gradient loosens.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure of 1023 mb centered 
near 27N131W and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is 
supporting fresh trade winds N of the ITCZ to near 16N and W of 
120W. The ridge will strengthen on Sun and will support fresh to 
strong trades over the tradewind zone N of the ITCZ through Thu 
night.

Long period NW swell is propagating across the forecast area, 
supporting seas of 8 ft or greater over much of the forecast 
waters N of the equator and W of 113W. The swell will continue 
to propagate SE, covering much of the forecast waters N of the 
Equator and W of 110W by Sun. A new set of long period NW swell 
is propagating into the NW waters with seas expected to peak 
near 13 ft Sun. 

$$
NR