000 AXPZ20 KNHC 241559 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1331 UTC Fri Jan 24 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1510 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 05N77W to 05N104W. The ITCZ continues from 05N104W to 06N113W to 05N124W to 07N134W...the ITCZ resumes from 06.5N138W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is present from 06N to 10N between 117W and 136W and from 06N to 10N between 117W and 136W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pres measuring 1024 mb is centered near 29N129W. The high is supporting light to moderate NW winds over the Gulf of California and along the Baja Pacific forecast zones. The high is expected to remain nearly stationary through early next week. Long period NW swell in the Baja California offshore waters will continue to decay today. The next round of NW swell will arrive tonight and cause seas N of Cabo San Lazaro to build to between 8 and 11 ft by Sun night. A reinforcing round of NW swell will maintain seas Mon through Tue night. Fresh to strong N winds will pulse over the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sat afternoon, then winds will subside as high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico shifts E. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... High pressure building north of the area will support fresh to strong NE to E winds over the Papagayo region tonight through Sun evening. Moderate N winds over the Gulf of Panama region will strengthen to fresh to strong Fri night through Sun evening. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A persistent surface trough extends from 06N136W to 12N136W. Convection is focusing scattered moderate and isolated strong convection along and N of the ITCZ E of the trough to 117W. Winds in the4 vicinity of the trough are only running moderate to fresh. Scattered moderate convection is also over the area. The trough is likely to weaken and to the west of 140W by tonight. Trade wind waves are mixing with NW swell to maintain combined seas of 8 to 9 feet from 05N to 15N between 107W and 135W. A new round of NW swell is supporting seas of 8 to 14 ft generally N of 10N and W of 130W. This round of swell will propagate SE and reach Baja waters by Fri night. A weakening cold front will usher in more NW swell as it moves into the far NW waters Sat, then stall and dissipate Sat night and Sun. $$ CAM