000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300910
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Nov 30 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

.TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave axis is along 87W north of 05N, moving westward 
at 10 to 15 knots. 

A tropical wave axis is along 104W, from from 04N to 14N, moving 
westward at 10 to 15 knots.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 07N78W to 09N87W to 08N93W to 
09N101W to 08N114W. The ITCZ continues from 08N114W to 11N119W 
to 07N130W to beyond 10N140W. Isolated moderate convection is 
noted within 120-150 nm either side of this axis between 94W and 
130W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weakening cold front across the southern Baja Peninsula will 
reach near Cabo San Lucas later today, then stall and dissipate. 
Seas west of Baja California will gradually subside this weekend 
as NW swell diminishes. 

Gulf of Tehuantepec: Fresh northerly gap winds will pulse to 20 
to 25 knots Sun night. Gale force wind conditions are possible 
Mon and Mon night, with winds decreasing Tue and Wed.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will pulse across and 
downstream from the Gulf of Papagayo through Wed. Gentle to 
moderate S to SW monsoon flow will persist across the offshore 
waters of Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, and Ecuador during the 
next several days, along with moderate SW swell.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front moving into the far NW waters tonight will bring 
reinforcing large long period NW swell, expected to peak near 22 
to 23 feet in the far NW waters by Sun afternoon. It is likely 
that seas of 8 feet or greater may cover much of the forecast 
waters N of 10N and W of 115W through the weekend and into early 
next week. 

$$
Mundell