000
AXPZ20 KNHC 291001
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Nov 29 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

.TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave axis is near 97W north of 05N moving 
west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is 
noted from 06N to 11N between 95W and 100W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to low pressure near 
10N95W to 08N99W to 10N113W to 09N126W. The ITCZ continues from 
09N126W to beyond 10N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is from 08N to 10N between 91W and 95W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A cold front extending across the northern Baja peninsula will 
shift southward and reach the southern part of the Gulf of 
California and Baja California on Sat, then stall and dissipate. 
NW swell associated with the front will impact the waters W of 
Baja California through Sun, with seas to 13-14 ft. Another set 
of NW swell will move into the waters off Baja California Norte 
early Mon. In the Gulf of Tehuantepec, fresh northerly gap winds 
will pulse to around 20-25 kt each night through early Sat, then 
again Sun night, with gale force winds possible Mon night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will pulse across and 
downstream from the Gulf of Papagayo at night through Tuesday. 
Gentle to moderate S to SW monsoon flow will persist across the 
offshore waters of Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, and Ecuador the 
next several days, along with moderate long period SW swell, 
supporting 4 to 7 ft seas.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front extends across the NE part of the forecast area 
from Baja California Norte to 21N124W to near 24N138W. The front 
has ushered in a set of large long period NW swell, with seas to 
14 ft N of 27N between 115W and 130W. Another cold front will 
move into the NW waters tonight, with reinforcing large long 
period NW swell expected to peak near 20-21 ft over the far NW 
waters by early Sun. Seas of 8 ft or greater are likely over 
much of the forecast waters N of 10N and W of 115W through the 
weekend and into early next week. Low pressure of 1010 mb near 
09N95W along the monsoon trough move little and produce some 
showers and thunderstorms into the weekend.

$$
Mundell