000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290201
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
152 UTC Fri Nov 29 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

.TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave axis is near 96W north of 07N moving
west at 10 to 15 kt. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
convection is noted from 07N to 10N between 91W and 101W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 09N103W to 09N128W. 
The ITCZ continues from 09N129W to beyond 11N140W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is located N of 04N E of
85W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 09N
between 115W and 120W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A cold front extends across the northern Gulf of California, Baja
California Norte, and adjacent offshore waters. This front will
move south and reach the central Gulf of California and portions
of Baja California Sur Fri ngt, then gradually dissipate through
the weekend. The front has ushered in a set of large NW swell, 
with seas of 10 to 14 ft over the waters off Baja California 
Norte. Seas 8 ft or greater will prevail west of the Baja 
California peninsula through Sat before diminishing. Another set 
of NW swell will move into the waters off Baja California Norte 
early Mon. In the Gulf of Tehuantepec, moderate to fresh 
northerly gap winds will pulse to around 20-25 kt each night 
through early Sat, then again Sun night, with gale force winds 
possible Mon night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will pulse across and
downstream from the Gulf of Papagayo at night through Monday. 
Gentle to moderate S to SW monsoon flow will persist across the 
offshore waters of Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, and Ecuador the 
next several days, along with moderate long period SW swell, 
supporting 4 to 7 ft seas.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front extends across the NE part of the forecast area from
Baja California Norte to 22N125W to near 24N138W. The front has 
ushered in a set of large long period NW swell, and an early
afternoon altimeter pass recorded seas to 14 ft N of 27N between
115W and 130W. Another cold front will move into the NW waters 
Fri and Sat, with reinforcing large long period NW swell expected
to peak near 20-21 ft over the far NW waters by early Sun. Seas 
of 8 ft or greater are likely over much of the forecast waters N 
of 10N and W of 115W through the weekend and into early next 
week. Low pressure of 1010 mb near 07N89W along the monsoon 
trough move little and produce some showers and thunderstorms 
into the weekend in its vicinity, with another nearly stationary
low pressure of 1014 mb near 08N120W producing similar 
conditions.

$$
KONARIK