000 AXPZ20 KNHC 060250 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0250 UTC Wed Nov 6 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0250 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 87W north of 05N, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. No significant deep convection is noted with this tropical wave. The axis of a tropical wave is near 101W from 02N to 13N, moving west around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is observed in association with this wave. The axis of a tropical wave is near 117W from 03N to 15N, moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 10N to 18N between 112W and 123W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N78W to 09N100W to 07N110W. The ITCZ extends from 07N110W to 09N114W. It resumes from 11N120W to 08N130W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 05N to 10N between 91W and 95W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 10N to 18N between 112W and 123W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak pressure gradient across the Pacific waters will continue to support gentle to locally moderate N winds across the northern offshore waters and the Gulf of California through at least Sun. High pressure over the Gulf of Mexico will promote strong N gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Thu, pulsing to near gale each night. The next strong cold front expected across the western Gulf of Mexico on Fri will induce another round of gale force winds across Tehuantepec late Fri through Sat. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Strong high pressure north of the Caribbean waters during the week will support fresh offshore winds across the Papagayo region throughout the week, pulsing to strong winds each night. Farther south, gentle to moderate S-SW monsoonal flow will continue across the offshore forecast waters of Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, and Ecuador through the upcoming weekend. No significant long-period swell will affect the area for at least the next several days. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface ridge extends from high pres centered near 35N135W southeastward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh NE trade north of the ITCZ to 20N and W of 120W. South of the ITCZ, gentle to moderate SE winds prevail. A tropical wave is near 117W from 03N to 15N. A broad low or trough in association with the wave is likely to produce locally strong E to SE winds and seas around 8 ft as the system moves slowly westward during the next couple of days. No cold fronts are expected to reach the area through Sat. Combined seas up to 9 ft in mixed swell will prevail from generally 10N to 20N west of 135W through Thu night. No other significant long- period swell is expected to impact the area through at least Sun night. $$ AL