000 AXPZ20 KNHC 051516 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1446 UTC Tue Nov 5 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A new tropical wave is reaching the eastern Pacific near 84W north of 05N, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is observed north of 05N east of 84W. The wave is primarily analyzed from the 700 mb tropical trough diagnostics. A tropical wave is near 98W from 02N to 13N, moving west around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is observed in association with this wave. The wave is primarily analyzed from the 700 mb tropical trough diagnostics. A tropical wave is near 114W from 03N to 15N, moving west at 5 to 10 kt. The wave may be developing a broad low pressure at the surface. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 10N to 13N between 114W and 120W. A broad low or trough in association with the wave is likely to produce strong E to SE winds and seas around 8 ft as the system moves slowly westward. A tropical wave is near 138W from 03N to 13N, moving west around 10 kt. No significant deep convection is observed in association with this wave. The wave is primarily analyzed from the 700 mb tropical trough diagnostics. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N79W to 08N98. The ITCZ extends from 07N100W to 08N112W with a break for a tropical wave near 114W, resuming at 12N116W to 07N137W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is observed north of 05N east of 84W and from 10N to 13N between 114W and 120W. Scattered moderate convection is located from 08N to 10N between 128W to 132W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak pressure gradient across the Pacific waters will continue to support gentle to locally moderate N winds across the northern offshore waters and the Gulf of California through at least Sat. High pressure over the Gulf of Mexico will promote strong N gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Thu, pulsing to near gale each night. The next strong cold front expected across the western Gulf of Mexico on Fri will induce another round of gale force winds across Tehuantepec late Fri through Sat. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Strong high pressure north of the Caribbean waters during the week will support fresh offshore winds across the Papagayo region throughout the week, pulsing to strong winds each night. Farther south, gentle to moderate S-SW monsoonal flow will continue across the offshore forecast waters of Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, and Ecuador through the upcoming weekend. No significant long-period swell will affect the area for at least the next several days. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface ridge extends from 30N130W southeastward to 15N100W. A weak pressure gradient south of the ridge is forcing only gentle to fresh NE trade winds north of the ITCZ. South of the ITCZ, SE winds are also gentle to fresh. A tropical wave is near 114W from 03N to 15N may be developing a broad low pressure at the surface. A broad low or trough in association with the wave is likely to produce strong E to SE winds and seas around 8 ft as the system moves slowly westward during the next couple of days. No cold fronts are expected to reach the area through Sat. Moderate NW swell along with NE wind waves produce total seas up to 10 ft from generally 10N to 20N west of 135W through Thu night. No other significant long-period swell is expected to impact the area through at least Sat night. $$ Landsea