000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070838
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0830 UTC Sat Sep 7 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Juliette is centered near 23.8N 127.1W at 07/0900
UTC moving W at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50
kt. Deep convection associated to Juliette has decreased 
significantly, with mainly scattered moderate convection noted 
from 22N to 25N between 123W and 129W. Juliette will continue to 
move westward the next several days while weakening. Juliette is 
currently forecast to weaken to a remnant low early Sun. See 
latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers 
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 102W from 05N to 15N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection 
is noted from 08N to 12N between 95W and 106W. 

The axis of a tropical wave is near 117W from 05N to 16N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection 
is noted from 10N to 14N between 112W and 125W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N79W to 09N85W to 08N88W to
10N93W to 10N120W to 12N130W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection was noted from 07N to 10N between 93W
and 98W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted
from 08N to 12N between 130W and 140W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge is building west of the Baja California peninsula, with 
NW to N winds across the offshore forecast waters W of Baja. 
Winds will strengthen N of Punta Eugenia Sat night through Sun 
night. Moderate to fresh north winds are expected across the Gulf
of Tehuantepec mainly at night during the weekend. Fresh to 
strong winds will prevail over the northern Gulf of California 
Sun through Tue.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are expected in the Gulf of 
Papagayo today before diminishing Sun. Elsewhere, mainly light to
gentle winds will persist N of the monsoon trough, with gentle 
to moderate south to southwest winds south of the monsoon trough 
for the next several days. Long period SW swell will reach the 
area this weekend with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range across much of
the waters. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on 
T.S. Juliette. Swell generated by Juliette will produce seas 8 ft
or greater over much of the forecast waters N of 20N and W of
125W today.

Elsewhere, gentle to moderate trades will prevail W of 20W between
the monsoon trough and 20N, with little change expected over the
next several days.

$$
AL