000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040232
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Aug 3 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0145 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Gil centered near 14.9N 123.6W at 04/0300 UTC 
moving W at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt.
Strong westerly shear is keeping numerous moderate to scattered 
strong thunderstorms within 180 nm in the eastern quadrant of 
exposed center of Gil. Gil will continue to move WNW over the 
next couple of days, through an increasingly hostile environment.
Gil is forecast to weaken to tropical depression strength Sun 
night, then dissipate by Tue evening. See latest NHC forecast/ 
advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC for more 
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 95W to the north of 05N
through the Gulf of Tehuantepec area, moving W around 15-20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection was noted from 08N to 13N between
90W and 93W, and also from 07N to 14N between 95W and 97W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N75W to 10N87W to 07N95W to
11N104W. The ITCZ extends from 11N104W to 12N118W, then resumes
from 10N127W to 09N134W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate and 
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 80W 
to 88W, from 11N to 13N between 108W and 115W, and from 07N to
10N between 121W and 125W. Scattered moderate convection is from  
07N to 11N between 127W and 131W, and also from 08N to 13N west 
of 135W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure ridging will dominate the waters west of Baja 
California through early next week. Southerly flow in the
northern Gulf of California will briefly increase to fresh to
strong late Sun night into early Mon due to a tightening pres
gradient. Southerly swell will propagate in to the waters south
of 20N next week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh NE winds will prevail N of the monsoon
trough, while gentle to moderate S to SW winds will prevail S of
the trough, increasing to moderate to fresh Tue through Thu. 
Southerly swell will propagate into the waters between the coast 
of Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands Sun, and continue to spread 
northward through next week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please read the Special Features section for more details about 
Tropical Storm Gil. 

Farther west, Tropical Storm Flossie continues to move west in the
area in the Central Pacific basin. Lingering seas that still spread
slightly east of 140W will diminish later tonight.

Elsewhere, an area of southerly swell is propagating northward of
the equator and will eventually reach to near 10N early next 
week, assisted by freshening southerly winds to the south of the
monsoon trough.

$$
Lewitsky