000
AXPZ20 KNHC 032051
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Aug 3 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Upgraded Tropical Storm Gil centered near 15.0N 122.4W at 03/2100  
UTC moving WNW at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 
1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 
kt. Strong westerly shear is keeping numerous moderate to 
scattered strong thunderstorms within 300 nm in the eastern 
quadrant of exposed center the depression. Gil will continue to
move WNW over the next couple of days, through an increasingly 
hostile environment. Gil is forecast to weaken back to tropical 
depression strength Sun night, then dissipate by Tue afternoon. 
See latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers 
MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 92W/93W to the N of 06N to
near the Guatemala/Mexico border, moving W around 15 kt. 
Scattered moderate convection was noted within 300 nm either side
of the tropical wave axis. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 07N78W to 10N99W. The ITCZ 
extends from 10N99W to 11N118W. Scattered moderate and isolated 
strong convection is noted within 180 nm S of the axis to the
east of 86W, from 07N to 10N between 120W and 134W, and also from
07N to 14N to the west of 135W. Scattered moderate convection 
is from 10N to 13N between 109W and 115W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure ridging will dominate the waters west of Baja 
California through early next week. Southerly flow in the
northern Gulf of California will briefly increase to fresh to
strong late Sun night into early Mon due to a tightening pres
gradient. Southerly swell will propagate in to the waters south
of 20N next week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh NE winds will prevail N of the monsoon
trough, while gentle to moderate S to SW winds will prevail S of
the trough, increasing to moderate to fresh Tue through Thu. 
Southerly swell will propagate into the waters between the coast 
of Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands Sun, and continue to spread 
northward through next week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please read the Special Features section for more details about 
Tropical Storm Gil. 

Farther west, Tropical Storm Flossie continues to move west in the
area in the Central Pacific basin. Lingering winds and seas that
spread to the east of 140W will diminish and subside by late 
tonight. 

Elsewhere, an area of southerly swell is propagating northward of
the equator and will eventually reach to near 10N early next 
week, assisted by freshening southerly winds to the south of the
monsoon trough.

$$
Lewitsky