000
AXPZ20 KNHC 100217
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
026 UTC Mon Jun 10 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0215 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 96/97W, moving W 10-15 kt. 
Active convection near this wave is described described below, 
mainly from 05N to 12N between 92W and 99W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10.5N86W to 12N96W to 08N106W. 
The ITCZ continues from 08N106W to 06N115W to 07N126W to 07N140W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 05N
to 12N between 92W and 99W. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is noted from 06N to 08N between 99W and 108W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 06N to 10N W 
of 132W. 

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... 

Light to gentle winds prevail over the open waters off the coast
of Mexico, reaching moderate winds off the coast of Cabo San 
Lucas. Light and variable winds prevail over the Gulf of 
California. Over the open waters off Mexico, seas are mainly in 
the 4-6 ft range. Seas over the Gulf of California are 3 ft or 
less.

High pressure west of Baja California will maintain gentle to 
locally moderate NW winds over the offshore waters through the
next several days. Winds may briefly pulse to locally fresh 
off Cabo San Lucas each late afternoon and evening for the next 
several days.

Northerly gap winds are expected to develop over the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec Mon night as the local pressure gradient tightens. 
Winds will peak near 30 kt are expected Tue morning, when seas 
will build up to 10 ft. Winds will diminish to 20 kt or less 
Wed, before returning Thu night

Freshening NW winds along the Baja California coast will produce 
areas of westerly gap winds inside of the Gulf of California Tue 
through Fri. Some of these areas will increase to fresh to 
strong Thu night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to moderate S to SW wind flow is noted across the 
forecast waters S of the monsoon trough, and light easterly winds
N of the monsoon trough. Little change in these winds are 
expected through the next several days. Seas are in the 4-6 ft 
range across the forecast area. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 

High pressure of 1030 mb centered well NW of the area near 
40N135W extends a ridge SE to just S of the Revillagigedo 
Islands. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds prevail north of the 
ITCZ and west of 125W, with gentle to moderate winds east of 
125W. Seas are reaching 8 ft in northerly swell N of 28N between 
125W and 132W. The northerly swell will subside below 8 ft early 
Mon. Seas are 5-7 ft elsewhere, except from 08N to 12N to the 
west of 135W where seas are reaching near 8 ft in mixed swell. 
Farther south, seas have subsided below 8 ft tonight.

$$
AL