000 AXPZ20 KNHC 080327 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0325 UTC Sat Jun 8 2019 UPDATED TROPICAL WAVES Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0230 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave extends southward from El Salvador into the E Pacific waters along 88W/89W moving W around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection was noted from 05N to 09N between 86W and 91W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 12N86W to 14.5N94W to 09N106W. The ITCZ continues from 09N106W to 06N114W to 09N130W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 03N to 07N between 108W and 117W, and from 03N to 09N between 120W and 132W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Latest scatterometer data indicate light to gentle winds prevail across the forecast waters, except off the coast of Cabo San Lucas, where moderate to fresh winds prevail. Over the open waters off Mexico, seas are in the 4-5 ft range, reaching near 8 ft west of Guadalupe Island. Seas over the Gulf of California are 3 ft or less. High pressure west of Baja California will maintain gentle to locally moderate NW winds over the offshore waters through the weekend. Winds may briefly pulse to fresh off Cabo San Lucas each late afternoon and evening for the next several days. Fresh northerly swell will prevail over the Baja California Norte offshore waters today. Seas are expected to peak at 8-9 ft west of Guadalupe Island overnight, and 4-7 ft closer to the coast. Seas will then gradually subside this weekend and into early next week. Gap winds will strengthen over the Gulf of Tehuantepec early next week as the local pressure gradient tightens. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Latest surface observations indicate gentle to moderate SW monsoon flow persists across the forecast waters S of 07N, with light westerly flow N of 07N. Seas are in the 5-8 ft range S of 07N, and 4-5 ft N of 07N. A tropical wave, with axis near 87W, will continue to shift further into the eastern Pacific waters the next several days. Weak low pressure may form along the tropical wave by early next week. Long period SW swell will prevail over the far southern waters. Seas between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands will briefly build to near 9 ft tonight before subsiding this weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1031 mb centered well N of the area near 41N136W extends a ridge SE to just S of the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds prevail over the waters N of 26N between 122W and 132W, with seas in the 7-9 ft range in northerly swell. Gentle to moderate winds, with seas in the 4-6 ft range prevail elsewhere. The northerly swell will continue to bring seas of 8 ft or greater across the waters west of Guadalupe Island between 120W and 130W. Seas of 8 ft will reach as far south as 26N by Sat night before subsiding Sun through Mon. Farther south, southerly swell will continue dominating the waters east of 120W through early next week. Recent altimeter passes revealed 8-9 ft seas reaching as far as 04N between 93W and 120. The swell will gradually subside over the weekend and into early next week. $$ AL/JL