000 AXPZ20 KNHC 062110 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1925 UTC Thu Jun 6 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2100 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 07N93W to 06N102W. The ITCZ continues from 06N102W to 05N110W to 09N135W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 03N to 08N east of 87W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Latest surface observations indicate moderate to fresh southerly flow across the northern Gulf of California, with seas in the 3-4 ft range. Light to moderate winds, and seas 2 ft or less, prevail over the remainder of the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds, and seas in the 4-6 ft range, prevail over the open waters off Mexico. High pressure west of Baja California will maintain gentle to moderate NW winds over the offshore waters through the weekend. Winds may briefly pulse to fresh speeds off Cabo San Lucas for the next several days. A fresh set of NW swell will reach the Baja California Norte offshore waters by Fri. Seas will peak around 9 ft west of Guadalupe Island Fri night before gradually subsiding this weekend and into early next week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are active south Panama this afternoon. Latest surface observations indicate gentle to moderate SW monsoon flow persists to the south of the monsoon trough, while generally light winds prevail north of the monsoon trough. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range S of 07N, and 4-5 ft N of 07N. A tropical wave over the western Caribbean will shift into the far eastern Pacific waters Fri. Weak low pressure may form along the tropical wave Sun as it continues to slowly shift westward across the far eastern Pacific waters. A set of long period SW swell has propagated into the southern waters today. Seas will build to 8-9 ft between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands before subsiding this weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge extends from 1030 mb high pressure centered well north of the area near 41N143W southwestward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the waters N of 28N between 121W and 130W, with seas in the 6-7 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, with seas in the 4-6 ft range prevail elsewhere. Northerly swell will bring seas of 8 ft or greater across the waters west of Guadalupe Island between 120W and 130W Fri, reaching as far south as 27N by Sat before subsiding Sun through Mon. Farther south, southerly swell will continue dominating the waters east of 120W through early next week. Recent altimeter passes revealed 8-9 ft seas over the high seas south of the Equator. Wave heights in this region will remain relatively unchanged through Fri night, then subside over the weekend and into early next week. As the swell propagates northward, pockets of 8 ft seas may emerge north of the Equator between 90W and 100W by Sat. $$ AL