000 AXPZ20 KNHC 051503 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1257 UTC Wed Jun 5 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 07.5N96W to 07N106W. The ITCZ continues from 07N106W to 05N110W to 11N125W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 04N to 09N E of 86W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 10N to 13N between 88W and 90W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 04N to 08N between 90W and 100W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 07N to 11N between 118W and 124W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... The pressure gradient between high pressure west of the area and a low pressure trough over the gulf of California is maintaining gentle to moderate NW winds across the waters off the Baja California peninsula. Light to gentle winds prevail over the remainder of the open waters off the coast of Mexico. Light and variable winds prevail across the gulf of California. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the open waters, while seas of 2 ft or less prevail over the gulf of California. The high pressure west of Baja California will maintain gentle to moderate NW winds over the offshore waters for the next several days. A fresh set of NW swell will reach the Baja California Norte offshore waters by Fri. Seas will peak near 9 ft west of Guadalupe Island Fri before starting to subside this weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Latest surface data indicates gentle to moderate southerly monsoonal flow prevails S of the monsoon trough, with light NE winds prevailing N of the monsoon trough. Seas in the 5-6 ft range prevail across the forecast waters. A set of long period SW swell will propagate into the southern waters on Thu. Seas over these waters will build seas to 8 ft through Sat, before subsiding below 8 ft by Sun. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1026 mb centered near 34N138W extends a ridge SE to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between the area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to locally fresh winds N of the ITCZ to near 15N W of 115W. Light to gentle anticyclonic wind flow prevails elsewhere N of 115W. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over the region of moderate to fresh trades, and 4-6 ft elsewhere. High pressure will build north of the area later this week, which will freshen winds across the waters north of 27N between 120W and 130W Fri into Sat. Associated northerly swell will move into these waters Thu evening. Seas will build to 8-10 ft by Fri night before subsiding over the weekend. $$ AL