000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030800
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu May 2 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0800 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A trough axis extends from western Panama near 07N78W to 08N98W 
to 07N110W. The ITCZ continues from 07N110W to 04N120W to 
05N132W to 04N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong 
convection is noted from 04N to 08N E of 95W. Scattered moderate 
convection is from 01N to 06N W of 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... 

A high pressure ridge enters the forecast waters near 32N127W, 
and extends south-southeastward to just west of the 
Revillagigedo Islands. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail off 
the west coast of the Baja California peninsula through Tue, 
with seas in the 4-6 ft range.

Gulf of California: Light to gentle winds will dominate the gulf 
waters through Sat evening. On Sun, the remnants of a front will 
approach Baja California Norte and support strong southwest to 
west winds in the northern Gulf of California. Strong winds N of 
29N will diminish by Tue morning.

Otherwise, the remainder offshore waters of Mexico will be 
dominated by light to gentle winds and seas of 3-5 ft.

Ongoing agricultural burning, which are normally carried on 
during this time of year in southeast Mexico and Central 
America, is generating smoke leading to hazy conditions along and
adjacent to the coast of Mexico from Guerrero to the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gulf of Papagayo: Moderate daytime winds will pulse to fresh 
during the overnight hours. Winds will diminish across the gulf 
of Papagayo Sat night, and then increase to moderate to fresh 
again Mon night through Tue.

Light to gentle winds with seas in the 4-6 ft range will 
continue through Tue elsewhere. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A high pressure ridge enters the forecast waters near 32N127W, 
and extends south-southeastward toward the offshore waters. This 
ridge is weakening due to a cold front moving across the NW 
forecast waters. The front will continue to move eastward and 
dissipate W of the Baja California Peninsula offshore waters by 
Sun.

Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the ridge and lower 
pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to 
fresh trade winds across the west central waters, along with seas
in the range of 5-8 ft. These trades and seas will diminish and
subside during the weekend as the pressure gradient weakens.

Also, cross-equatorial southwest swell will build seas to 8 ft 
from the equator to 09N between 100W and 130W. The swell will 
gradually decay and subside early on Sun.

$$
Ramos