000 AXPZ20 KNHC 300217 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sat Mar 30 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The ITCZ extends from 07N88W to 01N121W to 01N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong showers and thunderstorms are located from the equator to 03N west of 130W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Surface high pressure is centered west of southern California near 130W. The gradient between the subtropical high and lower pressures in northern Mexico is producing 20-25 kt NW to N winds west of Baja California north of 22N. Fresh NW winds will slowly expand in coverage to 122W Sat morning, then gradually diminish Sun as the ridge weakens and shifts northward. Seas currently running 8-10 ft in mixed NW swell will increase slightly on Sat, then slowly subside Sun and Mon. Gulf of California: Moderate NW winds will increase to fresh across central portions tonight. Seas will remain 3 ft or less across most of the Gulf waters. No significant change is expected through Tue. Gulf of Tehuantepec: Winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec have diminished considerably during the past 24 hours, and will remain light to gentle through the weekend. The next gap wind event is expected begin Sun night as a strong cold front moves into the SW Gulf of Mexico. Strong to near gale-force northerly winds are forecast Sun night through Tue. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh southeast to east trade winds will prevail W of 85W. N to NE trade winds across the SW Caribbean will enhance the gap wind prone areas west of Central America this weekend. Gulf of Papagayo: Fresh E to NE winds will continue to pulse to less than 25 kt at night through Mon night. Gulf of Panama: SW swell moving into the region and wind waves from fresh northerly gap winds will produce 6-7 ft seas through Sun. Winds will diminish Sun and Mon. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A weakening cold front W of the area will stall along 143W. Winds behind the front will generate 8-9 ft long-period NW swell propagating into the forecast area. The gradient between strong high pressure near 33N130W and lower pressure in the tropics is producing an area of fresh to strong trade winds west of 110W, with highest winds indicated from scatterometer data 25-28 kt from 10N-15N west of 135W. Seas are 8 to 11 feet in this trade wind belt in mixed swell. Little change is expected Sat, but winds and seas will begin to slowly subside Sun and Mon. $$ Mundell