000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290239
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Mar 29 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...   

A tough extends from the coast of Colombia near 05n78W to 
06N90W. The ITCZ continues from 06N90W to 02N103W to 01N130W. 
No significant convective activity is occurring.

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...  

Gulf of Tehuantepec: Strong winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
will diminish overnight. The next gap wind event is forecast to 
begin on Mon, with gale force winds possible Mon night.

Gulf of California: Fresh NW winds will continue in the Gulf of 
California through the weekend.

The pressure gradient will tighten between the subtropical high 
and low pressure over northern Mexico overnight, allowing NW 
winds to become strengthen, and continue into Sat. Wave heights 
will build to 10-11 Ft on Fri, then diminish this weekend. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gulf of Papagayo: Strong winds will continue to pulse in the 
Gulf of Papagayo through Fri morning. Winds will become moderate 
to fresh this weekend.

Gulf of Panama: Fresh northerly winds in the Gulf of Panama will 
continue overnight, then diminish Fri and Sat.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front will weaken and stall near 30N140W on Fri. The 
front will introduce more long-period NW swell into the 
forecast area that will sweep across the region through Sat.

The gradient between high pressure near 30N and lower pressure 
in the tropics is producing an area of fresh to strong trade 
winds west of 125W, with seas of 9 to 10 ft. This area of winds 
and seas is expected to change little over the next couple of 
days, then diminish Sat and Sun as the gradient weakens. 

A combination of longer period northwest and southwest swell is 
maintaining an area of 8-11 ft seas south of 25N west of 110W, 
and south of 08N between 94W and 110W. These seas will change 
little through the weekend.

$$
Mundell