000
AXPZ20 KNHC 161607
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sat Sep 16 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1530 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

The center of Hurricane Norma at 16/1500 UTC is near 19.3N 
110.1W, or about 60 nm ENE of Socorro Island, and about 210 nm S 
of Cabo San Lucas Mexico. Norma is stationary at this time. The 
estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb. The maximum 
sustained wind speeds are 65 knots with gusts to 80 knots. 
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 180 
nm of the hurricane center. Please read the latest NHC 
Forecast/Advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC 
for more details.

The center of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E at 16/1500 UTC is 
near 15.8N 126.5W, or about 1030 nm WSW of the southern tip of 
Baja California. The depression is moving W at 2 knots. The 
estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. The maximum 
sustained wind speeds are 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots. 
Scattered moderate to strong convection within 105 nm N 
semicircle and 90 nm S semicircle. Please read the latest NHC 
Forecast/Advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC 
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
None.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough passes extends from 10N86W to 11N97W. It then 
resumes from 13N129W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated 
strong convection is within 360 nm to the south of the monsoon 
trough E of 98W and within 120 nm either side of it W of 130W.

...DISCUSSION...

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please refer to the special features section for more 
information about Hurricane Norma.

Gulf of California...Moderate to near gale winds associated with 
Hurricane Norma are forecast over the southern half of the Gulf 
starting early Sunday morning through Wednesday morning. 
However, large southerly swells associated with the cyclone will 
be arriving across the southern waters this evening.
  
OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate SSW winds will prevail S of the monsoon trough through 
Thursday. Light and gentle variable wind will continue N of the 
monsoon trough through early Tuesday. The monsoon trough then 
lift to the N with moderate to fresh SW winds dominating.  

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...Surface high pressure anchored by a 1024 
mb high near 38N138W extends SE to the central Baja California 
offshore waters W of 115W. Moderate to fresh anticyclonic flow 
is expected elsewhere N of the monsoon trough W of 115W through 
next Thursday. 

$$
NR