000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261510
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon Jun 26 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Hurricane Dora is centered near 17.3N 106.3W at 1500 UTC, moving 
west-northwest or 295 degrees at 11 kt. Estimated minimum 
central pressure is 985 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt 
with gusts to 90 kt. Numerous moderate and scattered strong 
convection is within 150 nm of the hurricane center. Dora will 
continue on a west-northwest track then begin a weakening trend 
Tuesday as the system moves over cooler waters and into a more 
stable environment. Large swell generated by Dora is affecting 
the coast of southwest Mexico, expected to spread northwestward 
to affect portions southern Baja California coast Tuesday. Heavy 
rainfall may affect coastal sections of Guerrero and Michoacan 
in Mexico. See latest NHC Forecast/Advisory under AWIPS/WMO 
Headers MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 09N83W to 07N97W, then resumes 
SW of Dora from 12N109W to 08N127W. The ITCZ continues from 
08N127W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is from 06N to 09N between 82W and 96W, and from 12N 
to 14N between 91W and 94.

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

See Special Features for more information on Tropical Storm Dora.

Outside of the influence of Dora, gentle to moderate winds 
prevail west of Baja California Norte with light to gentle winds
off the coast of southwest Mexico and over the Gulf of 
California. Seas are 1-3 ft over the Gulf of California, and 4-6 
ft elsewhere. Little change expected over the next several days. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate southwest to west winds are expected across 
most of the region, except for south winds between Ecuador and 
the Galapagos Islands. Long period SW swell will sweep into the 
region tonight, expected to build seas up to 10 ft late Tuesday, 
except in the lee of the Galapagos Islands.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Light and variable winds prevail N of 25N W of 125W, with gentle 
to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are generally 5-7 ft. Winds 
and seas are expected to remain below advisory criteria through 
the end of the week. 

$$
Mundell