000 AXPZ20 KNHC 230908 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 447 UTC Fri Jun 23 2017 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to a 1009 mb low pressure near 13N96W to 11N101W to 10N121W. The ITCZ extends from 10N121W to 07N130W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 16N between 90W and 100W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Low pressure is embedded within the monsoon trough south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted in association with this feature. Latest scatterometer data suggest moderate to fresh winds surround the low. The low will drift west-northwestward south of the coast of southern Mexico the next couple of days. This feature will be one to watch with interest as there is the potential for tropical cyclone formation. Elsewhere latest scatterometer data indicates light to gentle winds prevail over the majority of the forecast area. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range off the coast of Baja California Norte, 1-3 ft over the Gulf of California, and 5-6 ft over the remainder of the forecast area. Seas west of Baja California Norte will subside below 8 ft today. High pressure building west of the area will support moderate to occasionally fresh northwest winds along the coast of Baja California through Sunday with building seas of 5 to 7 ft seas. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Gentle to moderate SW to W winds are expected across most of the region during the forecast period, with the exception of mainly S winds between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Seas will subside to 4-5 ft during the upcoming weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Weak high pressure prevails over the northern waters. Latest ASCAT data depicts gentle to moderate winds prevail north of the ITCZ with seas in the 5-7 ft range south of 20N, and 8-12 ft north of 20N in northerly swell. Seas will gradually subside through the upcoming weekend. $$ AL