000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150902
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
636 UTC Mon May 15 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 
The monsoon trough extends from 10N84W to 15.5N95W to 06N107W. 
The ITCZ extends from 06N107W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted within 60 nm of the monsoon trough
between 98W and 107W. 

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Strong to near gale winds prevail over the far northern Gulf of
California. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the remainder
of the forecast waters. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the far
northern Gulf of California and 1-3 ft over the remainder of the
Gulf of California. Seas in the 7-9 ft range prevail off the
coast of Baja California Norte and 4-7 ft over the remainder of
the forecast waters. Winds will remain in the 20-25 kt range 
over the far northern Gulf of California today, then pulse to
near gale force again tonight. Seas will subside below 8 ft off
the coast of Baja California Norte by the middle of the week. A 
fresh set of northerly swell will propagate into these waters 
Wednesday night into Thursday, with seas once again building 
above 8 ft.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft range prevail. 
These conditions will continue through the middle of next week.
Southwesterly swell will propagate into the southern forecast
waters Thursday building seas into the 5-7 ft range. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 
High pressure of 1035 mb centered northwest of the forecast area
near 37N146W extends a ridge southeast to near the Revillagigedo
Islands. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of the ITCZ and 
west of 125W, with seas generally ranging from 7 to 9 ft. Seas 
will remain in the 6 to 8 ft range through Wednesday within a 
moderate to occasional fresh trade wind flow.

$$
AL