000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150239
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
126 UTC Mon May 15 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 
The Monsoon Trough extends from 11N100W to 06N107W to 06N111W.
The ITCZ extends from 06N111W to 08N126W to 03N140W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 01N to 08N E of 79W...and within 120
nm either side of a line from 13N100W to 06N107W.

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
NW winds off the coast of Baja California remain in the gentle 
to moderate breeze intensity...however leftover NW swell is 
maintaining seas 7 to 10 ft in the northern-most zones. The swell
is expected to decay through Monday night. Within the Gulf of 
California...overall winds remain light to gentle...however S-SW
winds are expected to increase tonight into strong to occasional
near gale levels and persist through the early afternoon hours of
Monday as an area of low pressure develops across the SW CONUS. 
These winds are also expected to pulse Monday night into Tuesday
morning once again. Seas of 4-6 ft prevail across the remainder 
of the forecast waters. A fresh set of NW swell will propagate 
into these waters Wednesday night into Thursday...with seas once 
again building above 8 ft.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft range prevail. 
These conditions will continue through the middle of next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 
High pressure of 1036 mb centered NW of the forecast area near 
38N147W extends a ridge axis SE to near the Revillagigedo 
Islands. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of the ITCZ and 
west of 125W. Seas range generally from 7 to 9 ft. Seas will 
continue to gradually subside through Monday and will remain in 
the 6 to 8 ft range late Monday through Wednesday within a 
moderate to occasional fresh trade wind flow.

$$
HUFFMAN