000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142114
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1947 UTC Sun May 14 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 
The monsoon trough extends from 12N101W TO 06N111W. The ITCZ 
extends from 06N111W to 05N116W to 08N130W to 05N140W. Scattered
moderate and isolates strong convection is from 09N to 12N 
between 100W and 104W. Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere
from 07N to 16N between 92W and 106W.

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
NW winds off the coast of Baja California remain in the gentle 
to moderate breeze intensity...however leftover NW swell is 
maintaining seas 7 to 10 ft in the northern-most zones. The swell
is expected to decay through Monday night. Within the Gulf of 
California...overall winds remain light to gentle...however S-SW
winds are expected to increase into strong to occasional near 
gale levels this evening through the overnight hours into Monday
as an area of low pressure develops across the SW CONUS. These 
winds are also expected to pulse Monday night once again. Seas 
of 4-6 ft prevail across the remainder of the forecast waters. 
A fresh set of NW swell will propagate into these waters 
Wednesday night into Thursday...with seas once again building 
above 8 ft. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft range prevail. 
These conditions will continue through the middle of next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 
High pressure of 1037 mb centered NW of the forecast area near 
38N148W extends a ridge axis SE to near the Revillagigedo 
Islands. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of the ITCZ and 
west of 125W. Seas range from 7 to 9 ft. Seas will continue to 
gradually subside through Monday and will remain in the 6 to 8 ft
range late Monday through Wednesday within a moderate to 
occasional fresh trade wind flow.

$$
HUFFMAN