000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141506
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1259 UTC Sun May 14 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 12N88W to a 1009 mb low near 
15N99W to 07N120W. The ITCZ extends from 07N120W to beyond 
05N140W. Scattered moderate convection was noted from 09N to 16N
between 90W and 109W.  

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Latest scatterometer pass indicates winds have diminished off the
coast of Baja California Norte, showing moderate to fresh winds 
off the coast of the Baja California Peninsula, fresh to strong 
winds over the far northern Gulf of California, and light to 
gentle winds over the remainder of the Gulf. Gentle to moderate 
winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 8-11 ft range off the 
coast of Baja California Norte, 3-5 ft over the far northern Gulf
of California, and 1-2 ft over the remainder of the Gulf. Seas of 
4-6 ft prevail over the remainder of the forecast waters. Seas 
will continue to subside over the waters off the west coast of 
Baja California Norte, falling below 8 ft by Tuesday. A fresh set
of northwesterly swell will propagate into these waters on 
Thursday, with seas once again building above 8 ft. Winds will 
pulse to strong over the far northern Gulf of California over the
next few nights. Elsewhere, winds and seas will remain below 
advisory criteria. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft range prevail. 
These conditions will continue through the middle of next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 

High pressure of 1037 mb, centered northwest of the forecast 
area near 38N148W, extends a ridge southeast to near the 
Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of 
the ITCZ and west of 125W. Seas range from 7 to 9 ft. Seas will 
continue to gradually subside through Monday and will remain in 
the 6 to 8 ft range late Monday through Wednesday within a moderate
to occasional fresh trade wind flow.

$$

ERA