000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130906
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
535 UTC Sat May 13 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 15.5N94W to 06N114W. 
The ITCZ extends from 06N114W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 120 nm south
of the monsoon trough between 85W and 88W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 12N between 92W
and 108W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted
within 90 nm of the ITCZ between 124W and 132W. 

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Latest scatterometer pass indicates winds have strengthened over
the offshore waters off the coast of Baja California Norte,
while altimeter data shows seas have built to near 12 ft.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the far northern Gulf of
California while light to gentle winds over the remainder of the
Gulf of California. Moderate to fresh winds prevail off the coast
of Baja California Sur with light to gentle winds elsewhere. Seas
are in the 1-3 ft range over the Gulf of California and 4-7 ft
elsewhere. Seas will peak near 13 ft off the coast of Baja
California Norte today before beginning to subside. Winds over
this area will diminish to 20 kt or less by the end of the
weekend. Winds and seas will briefly fall below advisory criteria
early next week before another set of northwesterly swell bring
seas to near 10 ft by midweek. Winds will strengthen over the 
far northern Gulf of California late tonight through early next
week before diminishing by Tuesday. Elsewhere winds and seas will
remain below advisory criteria. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft range prevail.
Winds and seas will remain in this range through the weekend. 
Winds will increase to gentle to moderate early next week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA... 

High pressure centered northwest of the forecast area near
40N150W extends a ridge southeast to near the Revillagigedo
Islands. Moderate to fresh trades prevail north of the ITCZ and
west of 125W. Seas have built over the northern waters in 
northwesterly swell. Seas will peak near 13 ft tonight before
starting to diminish. Seas will subside below 8 ft by midweek. 

$$
AL