000
AXPZ20 KNHC 241511
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1143 UTC Fri Mar 24 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...
There is no ITCZ north of the equator.  

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh winds with seas in the 7-9 ft range prevail
west of the Baja California peninsula. Fresh to strong winds
with seas to 7 ft prevail over the southern Gulf of California,
light to gentle winds with seas in the 1-2 ft range prevail over
the northern Gulf of California. Moderate to fresh winds with
seas in the 5-6 ft range prevails over the Gulf of Tehuantepec,
while light to gentle winds with seas in the 4-6 ft prevail
elsewhere. High pressure will remain west of the Baja California
peninsula through the forecast period. This will maintain the
fresh to strong winds off the coast of Baja California with seas
in the 6-8 ft range. A fresh pulse of gap winds can be expected
over the Gulf of Tehuantepec the next couple of nights before 
gap wind flow is limited. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

High pressure prevailing across the NW Caribbean and Gulf of 
Mexico will support fresh to strong gap winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo through early Sunday with seas to 8 ft. Nocturnal winds
will pulse to a fresh breeze thereafter. Elsewhere, light to 
gentle winds and combined seas of 3-5 ft are expected the next 
several days except in the Gulf of Panama, where they will pulse 
to a fresh breeze through the weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front over the far northwest waters will usher in a fresh
set of northwesterly swell into the area. Seas will peak near 11
ft on Saturday as the swell propagates southeastward the next
couple of days. Another cold front will reach the far northwest
waters Sun night. This front will dissipate by early Monday. This
front will usher in a fresh set of northwesterly swells into the
area early next week. 

In the tradewind belt, fresh to locally strong trades will
prevail over the waters north of the equatorial trough through 
the forecast period with seas in the 8-10 ft range. 

$$
AL