000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020221
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Nov 2 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.
   
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...  

The monsoon trough extends from 10N83W to 11N90W to 08N98W to
10N109W to 09N117W to 12N124W to 11N130W. The ITCZ extends from
11N130W to 10N140W. Scattered moderate convection is within 90
nm either side of the trough east of 100W. Areas of scattered
moderate isolated strong convection are noted from 12N to 16N
between 120W and 130W.

...DISCUSSION...   

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure is building over the Pacific waters west of the
Baja California peninsula, freshening winds off the coast of
Baja California Norte. Light winds prevail elsewhere over the
Pacific waters, with light to gentle winds over the Gulf of
California. Seas are 7-8 ft in the Pacific waters north of 28N
near Baja California, and 4-6 ft elsewhere in offshore Pacific
waters, and 0-2 ft in the Gulf of California. High pressure will
build southward over eastern Mexico Thursday, and increase winds
in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, which may reach gale force Thursday
night then continue through Saturday night. Large long period
northwesterly swell will build seas to 8-11 ft Friday off the
coast of Baja California Norte. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

The monsoon trough will remain in the vicinity of 10N through
Saturday. Light to gentle winds prevail over the waters north of
10N, with moderate to fresh winds south of 10N. 4-6 ft seas will
prevail north of 10N, with 5-7 ft seas south of 10N. These
conditions will prevail through Saturday.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure continues to build across the northern waters. The
pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower
pressure near the ITCZ is supporting fresh trade winds north of
the ITCZ to 20N west of 120W, with seas 8-10 ft range in this
area. Gentle to moderate winds and 5-8 ft seas prevail elsewhere
across the region. Large long period northwesterly swell will
propagate into the northwest part of the forecast area Wednesday
morning. Seas associated to this swell will peak near 19 ft late
tonight and early Thursday morning.

$$
Mundell