000 AXPZ20 KNHC 061600 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1309 UTC Tue Sep 6 2016 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1430 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... At 06/1500 UTC, Hurricane Newton is centered near 24.1N 111.1W with an estimated minimum central pressure of 983 mb and maximum sustained winds of 70 KT gusting to 85 kt. Newton is moving NW or 325 degrees at 15 kt. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is seen from 22N to 25N between 109W and 112W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is taking place elsewhere from 21N to 28N between 108W and 113W. Newton is already interacting with Baja California Sur. Newton is still forecast to move northward across the Gulf of California tonight, then continue into Sonora, Mexico Wed as it rapidly weakens. Copious rainfall from Newton will bring the potential for life- threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of southwest and western Mexico, including Baja California Sur, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. For more information on Newton see the latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave extends N from 10N96W across the Isthmus of Tehuantepec to the Bay of Campeche at 20N95W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is found from 05N to 14N between 93W and 101W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 10N91W to 06N98W... then resumes from 12N120W to low pres 13N126W 1009 mb to 13N135W to beyond 12N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to 14N between 121W and 133W. ...DISCUSSION... OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... See special features section above for additional information on Hurricane Newton, which is forecast to track NW into Baja California Sur Tue, then across the Gulf of California late Tuesday before moving inland over Sonora, Mexico on Wed. Outside of the influence of Newton, gentle to moderate winds will prevail W of the Baja California peninsula with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. Fresh to strong winds will pulse over the Gulf of Tehuantepec early on Thu and again early on Fri. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Gentle to locally moderate winds and seas in the 3 to 5 ft range are expected through the period. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pres of 1030 mb centered NW of the area near 40N148W ridges SE to near 20N120W. The pres gradient between the high and lower pres near the monsoon trough is producing moderate to fresh winds N of the monsoon trough W of 123W with seas generally in the 5 to 8 ft range. Seas are currently running near 9 ft as wind waves and SW swell mix in the vicinity of 1009 mb low pres embedded in the monsoon trough near 13N126W. The low is forecast to drift slowly N during the next few days. Seas in the vicinity of the low could build to around 12 feet during the next couple of days as the low slowly strengthens. N swell will cause seas to build to around 8 ft well to the W of northern Baja California N of 28N between 124W and 136W tonight through Thu. $$ cam