000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240223
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion 
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Jun 24 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.
  
...TROPICAL WAVES...

The southern part of a tropical wave off the Pacific coast of
Guatemala extends to 13N90W, accompanied by minimal convection.
The wave will continue W at 10-15 kt along the coast of Central
America and reach the Gulf of Tehuantepec Fri night.

..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 11N107W to 10N122W,
then ITCZ from 10N122W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection stretches along the convergence zone within
90 nm S and 60 nm N of the axis between 116W-134W.
 
...DISCUSSION...   

Weak high pressure prevails over northern waters N of 20N. A sfc
trough is analyzed over Baja California. ASCAT data shows gentle
to moderate northeasterly winds N of the convergence zone, and
mainly moderate southerly winds to the south of it. Long period
southerly swell continues to propagate northward across the EPAC
resulting in combined seas of 8-11 ft. These seas will begin to
subside from the west Fri night. Model guidance suggests a sfc
low may develop along the monsoon trough near 11N124W Sat.
Little change is expected elsewhere.
  
$$
Mundell