000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140222
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC TUE JUN 14 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0220 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is propagating across the eastern Pacific just
west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection was noted from 07N to 12N between 95W and
100W.  

..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         

The monsoon trough extends from 09N83W to 10N98W to 09N110W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N110W to 12N118W to 05N130W to 05N140W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted N of 03N
east of 86W. Scattered moderate convection was noted within 60
NM of the ITCZ west of 132W. 

...DISCUSSION...   

North of 15N and east of 120W:  

High pressure ridge prevails over the northern waters west of
the Baja California peninsula. A trough prevails over mainland
Mexico. The pressure gradient between the ridge and trough is
supporting gentle to moderate winds and seas in the 5 to 7 ft
range. The ridge will continue to build over the next couple of
days which will freshen winds off the Baja California coast with
seas building to 6 to 8 feet.

South of 15N and east of 120W:

A tropical wave is moving through the far eastern waters. Light
to gentle monsoonal flow prevails to the south of the monsoon
trough while gentle to moderate southeasterly tradewinds
prevails south of the ITCZ. light to gentle northeasterly
tradewinds prevail north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ.
Southwesterly swell continues to propagate across the area with
seas in the 6 to 8 foot range west of 100W and 4 to 6 foot range
east of 100W.

Elsewhere west of 120W:

High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure
gradient between high pressure to the north and lower pressure
in the vicinity of the ITCZ will maintain moderate to fresh
trades west of 130W with seas in the 6 to 8 foot range. The
ridge will prevail over the northern waters over the next couple
of days with these general conditions persisting. 

$$
AL