000
AXPZ20 KNHC 082112
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion 
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC WED JUN 08 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
  
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         

The monsoon trough extends from 10N110W to 10N120W to low
pressure near 11N129W to 08N138W. The ITCZ extends from 08N138W
to beyond 08N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
was noted within 120 NM S of the monsoon trough between 122W and
131W.
 
...DISCUSSION...   

Tropical Depression One-E has moved into Southern Mexico and
dissipated. Winds and seas associated to the system have
decreased below advisory criteria. SW monsoon flow continues and
the potential for heavy rainfall continues on the southern
facing slopes of Central America. 

High pressure of 1020 mb centered over the northern waters near
28N130W extends a ridge se to near 18N112W. The pressure
gradient between the area of high pressure and the area of low
pressure embedded in the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to
strong winds over the northern quadrant of the low and seas to 8
ft. The area of low pressure will weaken over the next
24hoursand winds and seas will diminish below advisory criteria.
Outside this tighter pressure gradient...the pressure gradient
between the weak area of high pressure and the monsoon trough is
supporting gentle to moderate winds N of the monsoon trough with
seas in the 3 to 5 ft range. High pressure will slowly build in
across the northern waters and tighten the pressure gradient to
help support moderate to fresh trades n of the monsoon trough
with seas building to 5 to 7 ft by Friday. 

The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure over
the Gulf of California is supporting moderate NW winds off the
coast of Baja California with seas in the 4-5 ft range. SW
monsoon flow prevails to the E of 100W with light to moderate
winds prevailing. Active weather is expected to continue over
the eastern waters during the next couple of days as this moist
monsoonal flow persists.

$$
AL