000
AXPZ20 KNHC 301005
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON MAY 30 2016

Tropical weather discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 86W/87W from 13N southward, moving
westward 10 to 15 knots. Convective precipitation: numerous
strong within 75 nm to the east of the wave, and within 120 nm
to the west of the wave, from 09N to 14N. The surface pressure
gradient near this wave is forecast to become comparatively
weaker during the next 48 hours as the wave moves more to the
west, through a broad area of low pressure. 

A 1012 mb low pressure center is near 14N119W. Convective
precipitation: scattered moderate to isolated strong
from 10N to 15N between 115W and 122W.

Convective precipitation: Numerous strong is in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec from 15N to 16N between 93W and 95W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough is along 10N90W to 11N95W, to a 1011 mb low
pressure center that is near 10N99W, to 09N107W, 13N110W, to a
1013 mb low pressure center that is near 14N112W, to 13N115W, to
a 1012 mb low pressure center that is near 14N119W, to 10N123W
and 09N126W. The ITCZ continues from 09N126W to 08N133W, beyond
08N140W. Convective precipitation: scattered strong within a 30
nm radius of 13N92W, from 09N to 10N between 108W and 109W, and
from 07N to 08N between 107W and 109W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong is within 120 nm to the south of the ITCZ
between 89W and 91W. 

...DISCUSSION... 

A surface ridge is along 12N129W beyond 32N134W.
Surface high pressure covers the eastern Pacific Ocean from 13N
northward from 120W westward. ASCAT winds have been showing
fresh winds around the 14N119W low pressure center. This low
pressure center is forecast to become comparatively weaker
with time.
  
$$
mt