000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270246
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
0405 UTC WED APR 27 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.     
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...          
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 06N95W TO 06N110W. ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM THERE TO 07N125W TO 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 100W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 125W AND
130W.

...DISCUSSION...
  
A 1027 MB SURFACE HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 31N136W WITH AN
ASSOCIATED RIDGE REACHING SOUTHEASTWARD TO 20N110W.  THE
MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH AND THE ITCZ
IS PRODUCING GENERALLY MODERATE TO FRESH NE TRADEWINDS W OF
120W. THESE WILL DIMINISH SOME EVEN FURTHER OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...NW WINDS ARE UP TO STRONG BREEZE AND
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE UP TO 11 FT FROM A 12 SECOND PERIOD NW SWELL IN
THE AFTERMATH OF A NOW-DISSIPATED COLD FRONT. A REINFORCING WEAK
COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING OUR AREA ALONG 32N EARLY TOMORROW
EVENING.  NW WINDS E OF 122W N OF 25N SHOULD CONTINUE AS FRESH
TO STRONG BREEZE THROUGH FRIDAY.  AS THE FRONT REACHES THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE SW TO W
WINDS WILL OCCUR N OF 29N WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. THESE SHOULD NOT PRODUCE 8 FT SEAS...DUE TO THE LIMITED
FETCH ACROSS THE GULF. FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK CONDITIONS
WILL BE QUIESCENT OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

NO SIGNIFICANT GAP WIND EVENTS ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING NOR ARE
LIKELY TO BEGIN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

CROSS-EQUATORIAL S TO SW SWELLS WILL REACH THE EQUATOR LATE
WEDNESDAY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF UP TO 9 FT. THE LEADING EDGE OF
THIS SWELL TRAIN WILL ARRIVE AT THE SW FACING SHORES OF THE
GALAPAGOS THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN REACHING THE SHORES OF CENTRAL
AMERICA FRIDAY EVENING WITH SLIGHTLY LESS AMPLITUDE. 
  
DESPITE QUITE EXTENSIVE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN EAST-WEST
ORIENTED TROUGH ALONG 6-8N...NO OUT OF SEASON TROPICAL CYCLONE
ACTIVITY APPEARS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$
LANDSEA