000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252146
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
2205 UTC SUN APR 24 2016 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.     
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

A LOW LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS SW OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF COSTA
RICA TO 09N83W TO TO 07N95W TO 08N100W WHERE SCATTEROMETER WINDS
INDICATE AN ITCZ FORMS AND CONTINUES W TO 08N120W...THEN TURNS
TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 09.5N85W TO
07N99W AND WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 07N100W TO
06N112W TO 10N118W TO 06N130W. 

...DISCUSSION...
  
N OF 15N E OF 120W... 

A W TO E SURFACE RIDGE WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE TROPICAL WATERS
FROM NEAR 22N120W TO BEYOND 15N102W FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FRESH-
STRONG NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PACIFIC WATERS ROUGHLY
FROM 28-32N AND E OF 125W TO THE BAJA COAST THROUGH TUE
MORNING...THEN WILL DIMINISH BRIEFLY TUE AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY
INCREASE AGAIN WITH STRONG NW WINDS TUE NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THU.
STRONG NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE N OF 25N WITHIN 120 NM OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA THROUGH TUE THEN DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS TUE NIGHT.  

THE ASSOCIATED NW SWELL WILL MIX WITH CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY
SWELL...RESULTING IN COMBINED SEAS OF 8-15 FT IN THE WATERS N OF
28N. THESE STRONG NW WINDS WILL PUSH NW SWELL SOUTHEASTWARD WITH
SEAS OF 8-11 FT EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATERS FROM 15-28N BETWEEN
110-120W THROUGH WED...THEN BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WED NIGHT AND
THU...THEN BUILD E TO ALONG 110W ON FRI.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS E ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUE. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED N OF 29N E OF THE FRONT THROUGH TUE MORNING. STRONG TO
NEAR GALE NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED N OF THE FRONT.

S OF 15N E OF 110W...

MODERATE NOCTURNAL DRAINAGE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEK. CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL IN THE FORM OF 7-9 FT SEAS
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EQUATOR NEAR 110W ON WED NIGHT...AND
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE NE ON THU AND FRI BUT SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT
BEFORE ARRIVING AT THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO OVER THE THE NEXT
WEEKEND. 
  
ELSEWHERE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N E OF 140W...STRONG NW WINDS
AND SEAS OF 9-14 FT CURRENTLY OBSERVED N OF 29N BETWEEN 120-122W
WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS THIS EVENING THEN INCREASE TO 20-
25 KT AGAIN ON WED AND THU. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED IN THE FRESH
NE TRADES ACROSS THE TROPICS THIS WEEK. OTHERWISE...NW SWELLS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE SOME ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 115W.
    
$$
NELSON