000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140905
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU APR 14 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0700 UTC.               

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 06N92W TO 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS PRESENT WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
04N123W TO 11N133W.

...DISCUSSION...   

A 1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST NORTH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA
NEAR 32N133W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE HIGH ACROSS
THE EPAC WATERS TO 14N106W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
RIDGE AND LOWER PRESSURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ REGION
CONTINUES TO GENERATE AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS
GENERALLY BETWEEN 05N AND 20N AND W OF 120W. THE STRONGEST WINDS
PREVAIL FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W. SEAS IN THE AREA
OF STRONGEST WINDS RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 12 FT. 

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL MOVE E TOWARD THE CALIFORNIA COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT DOES SO...THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES WILL TIGHTEN. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS OFF THE CALIFORNIA
AND NORTHERN BAJA COASTS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SEAS N OF
26N AND EAST OF 123W ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK IN 36 HOURS AT AROUND
17 FEET. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN THIS WEEKEND AS LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES MOVES EAST...RESULTING IN
DIMINISHING WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS.
 
$$

CAM