000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090934
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC SAT APR 09 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0500 UTC.               

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...      

THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 05N86W TO 04N100W TO 03N108W TO
04N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 02N TO
10N BETWEEN 115W AND 132W.

...DISCUSSION... 
                                              
A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 29N127W. TO THE S...A
COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N124W TO 24N128W TO 21N133W. THE FRONT
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD AND DISSIPATE AS IT NEARS THE
NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SUNDAY. COMBINED SEAS W OF
THE FRONT RANGE BETWEEN 8 TO 11 FT IN A NW SWELL.

TRADE WIND SWELL WILL COMBINE WITH NW SWELL TO MAINTAIN COMBINED
SEAS BETWEEN 8 AND 9 FEET FROM 07N TO 13N TO THE W OF 134W
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...0307Z ASCAT PASS INITIALIZED WINDS AT 25
TO 30 KT FROM 14.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W. N WINDS FROM
14N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND
PULSE BACK UP TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FT IN
THE HIGHEST WINDS. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD FINALLY SUBSIDE SUNDAY
EVENING.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA WILL CAUSE NE TO E WINDS TO PULSE
FRESH TO STRONG ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO GENERALLY FROM 08N
TO 12N AND E OF 91W DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO
9 FT DURING PEAK WIND TIMES.

GULF OF PANAMA...FRESH N WINDS ARE FUNNELING THROUGH THE GULF OF
PANAMA REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. WAVE HEIGHT GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT SEAS WILL MAX EACH
MORNING BETWEEN 6 AND 7 FT.

$$

CAM