000
AXPZ20 KNHC 090206
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SAT APR 09 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0200 UTC.               

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...      

THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 05N86W TO 03.5N104W TO A 1007 MB LOW
NEAR 04.5N118W. ANOTHER 1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR
04N126W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 02N TO
10N BETWEEN 115W AND 132W.

...DISCUSSION... 
                                              
A 1010 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 29N127W. TO THE SE...A
COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N125W TO 24N130W TO 21N140W WHICH IS
SUPPORTED BY MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHING NOTED ON
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH ANOTHER
LOW N OF OUR AREA AND MOVE NE. THE FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD
WHILE WEAKENING REACHING THE NE WATERS OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. COMBINED
SEAS W OF THE FRONT ARE RANGING BETWEEN 8 TO 12 FT IN A NW SWELL.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL PULSE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W. SEAS WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FT WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO GENERALLY FROM 08N TO 12N AND
E OF 91W WITH SEAS UP TO 9 FT AT PEAK WIND TIMES.

GULF OF PANAMA...FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FUNNELING THROUGH THE
GULF OF PANAMA REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WAVE HEIGHT GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT SEAS WILL
MAX EACH MORNING AROUND 7 FT.

$$

ERA