000
AXPZ20 KNHC 082105
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI APR 08 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2000 UTC.               

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...      

THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 05N86W TO 04N118W. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM 09N119W TO 04N120W. THE ITCZ RESUMES FROM 04N122W
TO A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 04N127W TO 04N135W. ANOTHER 1008 MB
SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 05N137W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 01N
TO 08N BETWEEN 111W AND 138W.

...DISCUSSION... 
                                              
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N130W TO 26N134W TO 23N140W WHICH IS
SUPPORTED BY MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHING NOTED ON
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR 30N130W. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD WHILE WEAKENING REACHING THE NE WATERS
OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. COMBINED SEAS W OF THE FRONT ARE RANGING BETWEEN
8 TO 11 FT WITH NW SWELL.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL PULSE TO
NEAR GALE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS FROM 14N TO 16N
BETWEEN 94W AND 96W. SEAS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 10 FT WITH
THE HIGHEST WINDS.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THE PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO GENERALLY FROM 10N TO 12N AND
E OF 89W WITH SEAS UP TO 9 FT AT PEAK WIND TIMES.

GULF OF PANAMA...FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FUNNELING THROUGH THE
GULF OF PANAMA REGION. THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUN.
WAVE HEIGHT GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT SEAS WILL MAX EACH MORNING
AROUND 7 FT.

$$

ERA