000 AXPZ20 KNHC 300238 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED MAR 30 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0215 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE NORTHERN ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 004N128W TO 04N140W. THE SOUTHERN ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 01S110W TO 03.4S120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS PRESENT. AN E TO W SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N83W TO 00N102W TO 02N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 89W. ANOTHER E TO W SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 03.4S101W TO 03S106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 01S BETWEEN 97W AND 106W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 31.5N113W TO ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO SW OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE FRONT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND ASSOCIATED FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT. SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED TO LESS THAN 8 FT NOW LIKELY RUNNING 4-6 FT. A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THU. AS THIS OCCURS... EXPECT NW WINDS FUNNELING AROUND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 FT AS THESE WINDS INCREASE. A BROAD RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N130W THROUGH 25N124W TO 17N107W. A SURFACE LOW IS TO THE S-SE OF THE RIDGE NEAR 09.5N115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT OF THE LOW. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES MAINLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN W OF 110W. AN AREA OF FRESH WINDS AND SEAS OF 8-9 FT CAN BE FOUND FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 114W AND 124W. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND WILL DISSIPATE BY WED EVENING WITH ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS DIMINISHING BY THEN. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NW CORNER IN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES...WINDS N OF 28N W OF 138W WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG ALONG WITH BUILDING SEAS OF 8-10 FT IN NW SWELL. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES 30N140W LATE WED NIGHT AND WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH. NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK... BUILDING TO 12 FT BY THU AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OFFSHORE OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST CONTINUES TO GENERATE AND SEND FRESH NW SWELL N OF 28N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W. THIS SWELL WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT WED AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS DIMINISH. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE S-CENTRAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS WITH SEAS OF 8-9 FT COVERING THE WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S93W TO 02N103W TO 02N113W TO 00N120W. THESE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATE WED NIGHT. $$ LEWITSKY