000 AXPZ20 KNHC 292058 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE MAR 29 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2030 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE NORTHERN ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 04N112W TO 03N124W TO 06N135W TO 05N140W. THE SOUTHERN ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 03.4S104W TO 02S113W TO 03.4S120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 02S BETWEEN 99W AND 106W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF CALIFORNIA...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NW MEXICO NEAR 31.5N115W TO ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO SW OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 28N121W WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY. EARLIER GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WERE OCCURRING SE OF THE FRONT HAVE DIMINISHED TO 20-25 KT AS THE FRONT HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY S AND WEAKENED. SEAS JUST SE OF THE FRONT ARE LIKELY STILL UP TO 8 FT. THE FRONT WILL COMPLETELY STALL IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WHILE CONTINUING TO WEAKEN. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATER TONIGHT. A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THU. AS THIS OCCURS... EXPECT NW WINDS FUNNELING AROUND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 FT AS THESE WINDS INCREASE. A BROAD RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM N OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N133W TO 24N126W TO 18N112W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS TO THE S-SE OF THE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 12N114W TO 06N120W. SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES MAINLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN W OF 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 08N TO19N BETWEEN 114W AND 122W. FRESH NE WINDS CAN BE FOUND W OF THE TROUGH WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 8-9 FT WITHIN 240 NM NW OF THE AXIS IN MIXED SWELL. THE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND WILL DISSIPATE BY WED EVENING WITH ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS DIMINISHING BY THEN. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NW CORNER IN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES...WINDS N OF 28N W OF 138W WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG ALONG WITH BUILDING SEAS OF 8-10 FT IN NW SWELL. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES 30N140W LATE WED NIGHT AND WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH. NW SWELL ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK... BUILD TO 12 FT BY THU AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OFFSHORE OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST CONTINUES TO GENERATE AND SEND FRESH NW SWELL N OF 28N BETWEEN 117W AND 126W. THIS SWELL WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY WED AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS DIMINISH. CROSS EQUATORIAL SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE S-CENTRAL WATERS DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS WITH SEAS OF 8-9 FT COVERING THE WATERS S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S96W TO 01N107W TO 01N114W TO 00N120W. THESE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT LATE WED NIGHT. $$ LEWITSKY