000 AXPZ20 KNHC 262146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT MAR 26 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2145 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE... THE NORTHERN ITCZ AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 04.5N90W TO 06N110W TO 04N140W. THE SOUTHERN ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 03S92W TO 04S97W TO 03.4S106W TO 05S117W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE NORTHERN AXIS WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 04N105W TO 07N112W TO 03N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 07N82W TO 06N92W TO 10N101W TO 10N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DISSIPATING ALONG THE SOUTHERN ITCZ WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 01S92W TO 03.4S103W. ...DISCUSSION... N OF 15N E OF 120W... A SURFACE RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM NEAR 23N120W TO BEYOND 15N107W THROUGH NEXT FRI. A SURFACE TROUGH CURRENTLY ORIENTATED FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA WILL SHIFT W ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUN...THEN DRIFT BACK E OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA ON SUN NIGHT...AND OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON MON NIGHT. STRONG W WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON MON OVER THE GULF WATERS TO THE N OF 30N AND PERSIST THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. STRONG SW WINDS MAY BRIEFLY DEVELOP ALONG 30N ON TUE NIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH NW FLOW WITH SEAS OF 7-10 FT...CURRENTLY OBSERVED ACROSS THE EPAC N OF 27N E OF 120W...WILL DIMINISH/SUBSIDE TONIGHT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS...AND 4-6 FT SEAS...FORECAST THROUGH EARLY SUN. THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN LATE SUN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS AND 6-8 FT SEAS...EXPECTED N OF 28N W OF THE TROUGH AXIS THROUGH TUE. LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE W OF 96W WITH 4-7 FT SEAS THROUGH WED. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THROUGH MID WEEK. S OF 15N E OF 110W... NOCTURNAL PULSES OF STRONG ENE WINDS WILL RESUME ACROSS...AND JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT AND ALSO ON SUN NIGHT...THEN ONLY FRESH DRAINAGE EXPECTED ON MON NIGHT. FRESH N WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF PANAMA TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON SUN NIGHT WITH MODERATE N WINDS EXPECTED ON MON NIGHT. LONG PERIOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL SOUTHERLY SWELL IN THE FORM OF 7- 8FT SEAS WILL SPREAD N ACROSS THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 100-120W ON BRIEFLY ON TUE. ELSEWHERE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N E OF 140W... BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE SUBTROPICS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FRESH TO STRONG N WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS FROM 30-32N BETWEEN 120-126W WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT. ENHANCED SEAS OF 8-11 FT ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 24N BETWEEN 120- 130W WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT ON SUN NIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP N OF 27N W OF 138W ON WED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT REACHING FROM 32N137W TO 28N140W ON WED NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE E ON THU STALLING FROM 32N129W TO 24N140W ON FRI. LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL WATERS BETWEEN 100-120W ON MON NIGHT. $$ NELSON