000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260222
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
0405 UTC SAT MAR 26 2015 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0215 UTC.               
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

THE NORTHERN ITCZ AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 04N90W TO 05N110W TO
02N125W TO 03N140W. A SOUTHERN ITCZ FROM 02S87W TO 03S95W TO
01S118W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 05N90W TO 02N101W...AND
WITHIN 120 NM EITHER OF A LINE FROM 10N105W TO 02N124W...AND
ALONG THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 150 NM OF 02S110W.
 
...DISCUSSION...
 
N OF 15N E OF 120W... 

A SURFACE RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM NEAR 23N120W TO BEYOND 15N107W
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRESH NW FLOW IS OBSERVED N OF THE RIDGE TO
THE S OF 30N...WHILE STRONG N-NW WINDS ARE OBSERVED FROM 30-32N
BETWEEN 119-125W AND EXPECTED TO PERSIST SAT EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS. THESE NW WINDS ARE ACCOMPANIED BY
8 TO 12 FT SEAS PRIMARILY DUE TO LARGE NW SWELL. THESE SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT ON SUN NIGHT...THEN BUILD TO 8 FT OR
GREATER AGAIN ON TUE. A SURFACE TROUGH CURRENTLY EXTENDING N TO
S OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA WILL SHIFT W ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST
OF THE BAJA PENINSULA ON SAT...THEN DRIFT BACK E OVER THE BAJA
PENINSULA ON SUN NIGHT...AND OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON BY
EARLY TUE AS STRONG W WINDS DEVELOP OVER THE GULF TO THE N OF
30N.

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

S OF 15N E OF 110W... 

NOCTURNAL PULSES OF STRONG ENE WINDS WILL RESUME ACROSS...AND
JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT AND ALSO ON SAT
NIGHT.
 
FRESH N WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PANAMA TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON SAT NIGHT.   

LONG PERIOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL IN THE FORM OF 7-8 FT SEAS
ARE CURRENTLY OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA S OF 10N BETWEEN 100-
120W. THESE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT ON SAT...THEN
BUILD TO 8-9 FT FROM THE S BEGINNING LATE MON NIGHT...WITH SEAS
OF 8-9 FT REACHING ALONG 10N W OF 95W ON WED BEFORE BEGINNING TO
SUBSIDE AGAIN.  

ELSEWHERE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N E OF 140W...

A RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM 32N136W TO 15N110W THROUGH MON. STRONG
N WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 30N E OF 126W WILL DIMINISH TO
20KT OR LESS ON SAT NIGHT. ENHANCED SEAS OF 8-12 FT ACROSS THE
WATERS N OF 24N BETWEEN 120-133W WILL DIMINISH LATE IN THE
WEEKEND.     
 
MIXED SWELL RESULTS IN COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT ACROSS THE
TROPICS S OF A LINE FROM 04N98W TO 16N132W. THESE SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FROM THE N THROUGH SAT. LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELL
WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL WATERS BETWEEN 100-120W ON MON NIGHT.
   
$$
NELSON