000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252150
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
2205 UTC FRI MAR 25 2015 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.               
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

THE NORTHERN ITCZ AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 04N92W TO 05N110W TO
02N126W TO 04N140W. A SOUTHERN ITCZ IS ANALYZED FROM 02S87W TO
03S96W TO 01S118W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 04N91.5W TO
03N101W TO 09N111W...AND ALSO WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 07N114W TO 03N125W.

SCATTERED MODERATE  ISOLATED STRONG ALSO NOTED ALONG THE SOUTHERN
ITCZ WITHIN 30 NM OF 02S88W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 02S98W
TO 02S112W. 
  
...DISCUSSION...
 
N OF 15N E OF 120W... 

A SURFACE RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM NEAR 23N120W TO BEYOND 15N107W
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRESH NW FLOW IS OBSERVED N OF THE RIDGE AND
S OF 30N...WITH STRONG N-NW WINDS EXPECTED FROM 30-32N BETWEEN
119-125W THROUGH EARLY SUN. THESE NW WINDS ARE ACCOMPANIED BY 8
TO 12 FT SEAS PRIMARILY DUE TO LARGE NW SWELL. THESE SEAS WILL
BEGIN TO SUBSIDE FROM THE N LATE IN THE WEEKEND. A SURFACE
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA ON SAT...THEN DRIFT W ON SUN...MOVE INLAND OVER THE
BAJA PENINSULA ON MON...AND DISSECT THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON
TUE AS STRONG W WINDS DEVELOP OVER THE GULF ALONG 30N.

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

S OF 15N E OF 110W... 

NOCTURNAL PULSES OF STRONG ENE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS...AND
DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO TONIGHT AND SAT NIGHT. 

FRESH N WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GULF OF
PANAMA TONIGHT AND SAT NIGHT.   

LONG PERIOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL IN THE FORM OF 7-8 FT SEAS 
WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS NEAR 01N109W ON MON NIGHT.  

ELSEWHERE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N E OF 140W...

A RIDGE WILL MEANDER FROM 32N136W TO 15N110W THROUGH MON. STRONG
N WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 30N E OF 126W WILL DIMINISH ON
SAT NIGHT. ENHANCED SEAS OF 8-12 FT ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 24N
BETWEEN 120-133W WILL DIMINISH LATE IN THE WEEKEND.     

MIXED SWELL RESULTS IN COMBINED SEAS OF 7-9 FT ACROSS THE
TROPICS S OF A LINE FROM 04N98W TO 16N132W. THESE SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FROM THE N THROUGH SAT. LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELL
WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL WATERS BETWEEN 100-120W ON MON
NIGHT.
   
$$
NELSON