000
AXPZ20 KNHC 242118
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2205 UTC THU MAR 24 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.              

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         

A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 06N85W TO 04N104W. AS IS TYPICAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR...THERE IS A DOUBLE ITCZ DUE TO SST CONTRASTS WHERE
THE EASTERN PACIFIC COLD TONGUE LIES ALONG THE EQUATOR WITH
WARMER OCEANIC TEMPERATURES TO ITS NORTH AND SOUTH. THE NORTHERN
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 04N110W TO 03N127W TO 00N138W. THE SOUTHERN
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 02S91W TO BEYOND 02S120W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF
THE TROUGH BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WAS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE NORTHERN ITCZ BETWEEN 110W AND
130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED
WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN ITCZ W OF 110W. 
 
...DISCUSSION...                                               

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1033 MB CENTERED NEAR 36N134W EXTENDS A RIDGE
SE TO NEAR 14N104W. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE AND LOWER PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ IS
MAINTAINING MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE WESTERN WATERS N
OF THE ITCZ. THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL CONTINUE OVER THIS
AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES AND MEXICO. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH CENTER AND MEXICO...INCREASING WINDS
TO 25 KT OVER THE FAR NORTHER WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 120W AND
124W BY EARLY FRI. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT
AFTERNOON.  

NW SWELL CONTINUES TO SUBSIDE OVER THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS 8
FT OR GREATER COVERS THE AREA S OF A LINE FROM 21N140W TO
21N122W TO 25N118W TO 15N115W TO10N100W. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUBSIDE AND BY SAT AFTERNOON SEAS WILL FALL TO 8 FT OR LESS
ASSOCIATED TO THIS SWELL N OF THE EQUATOR. 
 
GAP WINDS...

GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS WILL PULSE OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS WILL PEAK NEAR 25 KT DURING
THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY EVENING HOURS AND DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR
LESS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

$$
AL