000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141545
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON MAR 14 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.              
 
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         

THREE SEGMENTS ARE ANALYZED TODAY FOR THE ITCZ. THE NORTHERN
ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N105W TO 03N120W TO 02N136W. THE
SOUTHERN SEGMENTS OF THE ITCZ EXTEND FROM 04S91W TO 03S107...AND
THEN FROM 06N121W TO BEYOND 06S140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE NORTHERN AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND
127W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE TWO SOUTHERN AXES. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE NORTHERN AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...                                             

A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS PASSES THROUGH 29N140W TO 27N125W TO
19N113W TO 14N105W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR NORTHWARD W OF 110W. THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT EXISTS TO THE SOUTH OF THE RIDGE
IS HELPING TO PRODUCE 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS FROM 18N TO 20N TO THE
WEST OF 136W. ANOTHER AREA OF 20 TO 25 KT WINDS ARE ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 20 KT OR BELOW OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. AN
AREA OF NW SWELL WITH SEA HEIGHTS MAINLY BETWEEN 12 TO 15 FT ARE
TO THE NW OF 30N120W TO 16N140W. THE SWELL WILL DIMINISH WITH
TIME DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH
SUPPORTING THE RIDGE MOVES NE AND THE AREA OF SWELL DRIFTS SE.
SEAS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 12 FT BY TUE EVENING. 

THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO REGION IS FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE A WEAK
PULSING OF 20 TO 25 KNOT NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST WINDS THAT WILL
START THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTERMITTENTLY THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. SEAS TO 8 FT WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

$$
LATTO