000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081000
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
1005 UTC TUE MAR 08 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0845 UTC.              

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO NE WATERS FROM 30N110W TO
26N112W TO 24N121W WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP ACROSS THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT TIGHTENS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER WATERS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO
SUPPORT GALE-FORCE WINDS THAT ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AT 1800
UTC. THE STRONG NW WINDS WILL BUILD MAX SEAS OVER THE NORTHERN
WATERS OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 16-20 FT.

THE COLD FRONT REFERENCED ABOVE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA FROM 28N110W TO 26N111W. THE LATEST SCAT PASS SHOW NW
TO W GALE FORCE WINDS N OF THE FRONT TO 29N WITH SEAS BUILDING
TO 8 FT. WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON
AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES AND THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N86W TO 02N95W TO 02N105W. THE
ITCZ BEGINS NEAR 04N109W AND CONTINUES ALONG 01N127W TO 02N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND TSTMS ARE FROM 03N TO 09
BETWEEN 85W AND 94W AND FROM 01N TO 04N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE ITCZ W OF
128W.

...DISCUSSION...

A BROAD RIDGE CENTERED NEAR 28N133W BY A 1027 MB HIGH WILL SHIFT
NE TO NEAR 29N128W THROUGH WED MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE AREA OF HIGH PRES AND LOWER PRES ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ITCZ IS MAINTAINING FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER WESTERN
WATERS W OF 130W N OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE. NW SWELL DOMINATES
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH 8-12 FT SEAS COVERING MAINLY THE
REGION W OF 92W...HIGHEST SEAS N OF 22N. A NEW COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH NW WATERS EARLY WED MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL COVER THE AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 30N136W
TO 26N140W WITH SEAS FROM 8 TO 9 FT. LATER WED MORNING WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE-FORCE. WINDS WILL BECOME FRESH TO
STRONG BY EARLY THU MORNING WHEN THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND
APPROXIMATELY FROM 30N132W TO 25N140W. WEST OF THE FRONT WINDS
WILL BE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS RANGING FROM 8 TO 11 FT IN NW
SWELL.

$$ 
RAMOS