000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080325
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
0405 UTC TUE MAR 8 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.              

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO NE WATERS FROM 31N113W TO
27N116W TO 27N126W WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP ACROSS THE BAJA CALIF
PENINSULA INTO NW MEXICO TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER WATERS W OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO GALE FORCE IN ABOUT 6
HOURS LATE TONIGHT. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY LATER
TODAY WITH WINDS DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE BY TUE NIGHT. THE
STRONG NW WINDS WILL BUILD MAX SEAS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS OFF
THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 22-24 FT BY THIS MORNING. 
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N86W TO 03N99W TO 00N122W. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION.  

...DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 30N134W WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TO NEAR
30N126W THROUGH WED. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AREA OF
HIGH PRES AND LOWER PRES ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ IS MAINTAINING
FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER WESTERN WATERS N OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE.
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES FROM 06N
TO 10N W OF 130W SHIFTING N TO 14N-18N W OF 128W TUE. LARGE AREA
OF NW SWELL DOMINATES MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH 8-12 FT
SEAS COVERING MUCH OF THE REGION W OF 100W. A COLD FRONT WILL
REACH 30N140W WED AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS
EXPECTED NW OF LINE FROM 30N135W TO 25N140W WED. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA AND THE
PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS. W WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO NEAR GALE
FORCE OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY LATE
TUE AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. 

$$ 
MUNDELL