000
AXPZ20 KNHC 071005
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
1005 UTC MON MAR 07 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0915 UTC.              

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTH PACIFIC HAS INDUCED A HIGH-AMPLITUDE
TROUGH WEST OF CALIFORNIA. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN TUE AND
BECOME A STRONG CUTOFF LOW OVER SW NEW MEXICO DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL REACH 26N LATER THIS
MORNING. HIGH PRES BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE A
LARGE AREA OF NW GALE FORCE WINDS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM MON
NIGHT THROUGH TUE MORNING. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 18-
20 FT MON NIGHT...EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TUE NIGHT. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE TUE EVENING WITH MAX SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 16 FT TUE NIGHT.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N88W TO 02N100W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 04N103W TO S OF EQUATOR BEYOND 01S140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM FROM TROUGH AXIS AND FROM 03N
TO 06N W OF 127W.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 29N114W TO 22N130W. ASCAT
SHOWS MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OFF NORTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA W OF THE FRONT. A LARGE AREA OF 10-15 FT NW SWELL IS
BEHIND A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM ARIZONA SW TO
29N114W TO 23N126W. HIGH PRES BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
INDUCE FRESH TO STRONG WESTERLY WINDS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
TONIGHT INTO LATE TUE. MAX SEAS MAY REACH 8 FT TUE WHEN WINDS
PEAK AT 30 KT.

SOME ENHANCEMENT OF THE NE TRADE WINDS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 06-16N
W OF 120W MON THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS OCCASIONALLY REACHING 20-
25 KT AND SEAS GRADUALLY BUILDING TO 10-11 FT IN MIXED NE WIND
WAVES AND PRE-EXISTING NW SWELL.

$$ 
NR