000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070330
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
0405 UTC MON MAR 7 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.              

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL INDUCE A HIGH-AMPLITUDE
TROUGH TO FORM JUST WEST OF CALIFORNIA OVERNIGHT. THE TROUGH
WILL DEEPEN TUE AND BECOME A STRONG CUTOFF LOW OVER NW MEXICO
WED. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL REACH 30N BY MON AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRES BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF
NW GALE FORCE WINDS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MON NIGHT AND TUE.
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO
18-20 FT MON NIGHT WITH 20-24 FT MAX SEAS EXPECTED TUE BEFORE
DIMINISHING TUE NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE IN
TUE EVENING HOURS WITH MAX SEAS SUBSIDING TO 15-16 FT TUE NIGHT.
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

SURFACE TROUGH FROM 09N86W TO 04N95W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 02N108W
TO S OF EQUATOR BEYOND 00N120W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N115W TO 23N133W. ASCAT
SHOWS MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. A LARGE
AREA OF 10-15 FT NW SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS MORNING BEFORE MERGING WITH NW SWELL ACCOMPANIED BY A NEW
COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE SECOND FRONT WILL INDUCE FRESH TO
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATE TODAY INTO
EARLY WED. MAX SEAS MAY REACH 8 FT TUE WHEN WINDS PEAK AT 30 KT.

SOME ENHANCEMENT OF THE NE TRADE WINDS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 06-16N
W OF 120W MON THROUGH WED...WITH WINDS OCCASIONALLY REACHING 20-
25 KT AND SEAS GRADUALLY BUILDING TO 10-11 FT IN MIXED NE WIND
WAVES AND PRE-EXISTING NW SWELL.

$$ 
MUNDELL