000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060320
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                      
0405 UTC SUN MAR 6 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0300 UTC.              
  
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N89W TO 01S101W TO 00N117W TO 05N132W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
BETWEEN 90W AND 97W.

...DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW PART OF THE AREA FROM 30N130W
TO 24N140W. 1830 UTC ASCAT DATA SIX HOURS AGO SHOWED SW WINDS TO
25 KT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND NW WINDS TO 30 KT W OF THE FRONT.
THE FRONT WILL SHIFT FURTHER EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND WEAKEN WITH
MAX SEAS TO 16-17 FT. A NEW AREA OF STRONG W-NW WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH A SHORT WAVE AMPLIFYING N OF 35N WILL PRODUCE AN INTENSE
LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING INTO CALIFORNIA WITH PERIPHERAL WINDS
THAT WILL REACH 30N BETWEEN 120W-130W MON THEN SPREAD 30-35 KT
WINDS SOUTHWARD W OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MON NIGHT AND TUE
AS THE LOW PUSHES SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA. WW3
WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SEAS BUILDING TO 20-25 FT N OF 27N E
OF 122W TUE MORNING. EXPECT TO ISSUE A GALE WARNING AT 06Z FOR
A SIZABLE AREA OF 30-35 KT WINDS...ROUGHLY N OF 25N E OF 122W. 
 
HIGH PRES IN THE SW GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALLOW GAP WINDS TO
INCREASE THROUGH TEHUANTEPEC TO 25-30 KT LATER TONIGHT...THEN
DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT MON AFTERNOON ONCE DRAINAGE EFFECTS WEAKEN.

$$ 
MUNDELL